Policy Tensor

Height gains predict future productivity growth

The biological channel of modernization

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Policy Tensor
Dec 24, 2025
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The purpose of this note is threefold. First, I want to respond to the counterarguments of people who have responded to my last post regarding the signal in mean adult height of populations. Second, I want to document a robust pattern: gains in height predict long-term productivity growth. Third, based on this robust pattern, I want to suggest a new way…

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