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The Elephant in the Room
Reintermediation is the only path forward for Democrats
8 hrs ago
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The Elephant in the Room
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June 2025
Correlates of the Mamdani Vote
No class gradient is a big win for democratic socialism
Jun 25
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Correlates of the Mamdani Vote
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Trump threaded the needle. Now what?
Some predictions
Jun 23
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Trump threaded the needle. Now what?
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Shareholder Payouts, Underinvestment and the Productivity Slowdown
Why have firms been underinvesting since 1980?
Jun 1
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Shareholder Payouts, Underinvestment and the Productivity Slowdown
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May 2025
Rate Outlook and the Coming Fiscal Crisis
Almost exactly one year ago, I argued on these pages that the CBO’s rate assumptions were far out. I pointed out that the CBO was assuming that the…
May 22
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Rate Outlook and the Coming Fiscal Crisis
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The Portfolio Rebalancing Model of FX
Wither the Mighty Dollar?
May 17
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The Portfolio Rebalancing Model of FX
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April 2025
Notes for Mark Carney
History beckons
Apr 30
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Notes for Mark Carney
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Debunking the Pettis-Miran Hypotheses
And how did we get here?
Apr 13
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Debunking the Pettis-Miran Hypotheses
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Notes on the geopolitical implications of Liberation day
The global fallout of Liberation Day cannot be judged solely on the basis of the list of published tariffs.
Apr 4
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Notes on the geopolitical implications of Liberation day
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March 2025
Israel is the Latin Kingdom
Why does the Jewish state punch so far above its weight?
Mar 28
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Israel is the Latin Kingdom
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Paid Subscription Tier
Plans, benefits and special offer
Mar 15
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Paid Subscription Tier
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The End of US Hegemony
Triepel, Schroeder and the Trump capitulation
Mar 15
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The End of US Hegemony
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