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Suicide and the Crisis of Meaning
Are we a barbaric civilization?
Sep 9
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The War of Numbers
Testing Todd's demographic defense hypothesis
Sep 1
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August 2025
The Demographic Modernization of the Muslim World
I just finished reading Youssef Courbage and Emmanuel Todd’s A Convergence of Civilizations: The Transformation of Muslim Societies Around the World…
Aug 24
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The Lewisian Model of Unequal Exchange
The catastrophic failure of the law of one price
Aug 11
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Teams of generals with vast armies: AI and the future of professional work
A good friend of mine, who wishes to remain anonymous, is one of the youngest staff engineers at Google.
Aug 6
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Is Economics Trapped in Orthodoxy?
Boundaries and Coherence of the Economics Discipline
Aug 4
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July 2025
The Problem of the Strategic Defender
Wars of rapid decision
Jul 13
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The Elephant in the Room
Reintermediation is the only path forward for Democrats
Jul 1
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June 2025
Correlates of the Mamdani Vote
No class gradient is a big win for democratic socialism
Jun 25
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Trump threaded the needle. Now what?
Some predictions
Jun 23
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Shareholder Payouts, Underinvestment and the Productivity Slowdown
Why have firms been underinvesting since 1980?
Jun 1
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May 2025
Rate Outlook and the Coming Fiscal Crisis
Almost exactly one year ago, I argued on these pages that the CBO’s rate assumptions were far out. I pointed out that the CBO was assuming that the…
May 22
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