Asymmetric Escalation Games and The Taiwan Dilemma
policytensor.substack.com
The Taiwan dilemma stems from the fact that Taiwan is much more valuable to China than the United States. China would be willing to risk a major war to prevent Taiwan from seceding while the US would be unlikely to risk major power war to prevent China from forcibly absorbing Taiwan. How, then, can the US deter China? In the general form, this is referred to as the problem of extended deterrence. As it turns out, this can be elegantly analyzed using asymmetric escalation games. [Deterrence games are examined extensively in Zagare, Frank C.
Asymmetric Escalation Games and The Taiwan Dilemma
Asymmetric Escalation Games and The Taiwan…
Asymmetric Escalation Games and The Taiwan Dilemma
The Taiwan dilemma stems from the fact that Taiwan is much more valuable to China than the United States. China would be willing to risk a major war to prevent Taiwan from seceding while the US would be unlikely to risk major power war to prevent China from forcibly absorbing Taiwan. How, then, can the US deter China? In the general form, this is referred to as the problem of extended deterrence. As it turns out, this can be elegantly analyzed using asymmetric escalation games. [Deterrence games are examined extensively in Zagare, Frank C.