Why was Charney so uncannily right back in 1979 when he estimated that doubling the stock of atmospheric carbon will increase global surface temperatures by 3ºC (plus/minus 1.5ºC)? Since then vast armies of climate scientists have replicated the result. Study after study has found that the equilibrium climate sensitivity — how much will temperatures rise after accounting for feedback loops — to be basically in line with Charney's original estimate. Put simply, Charney (1979) is the most replicated scientific result of all time. Tabulated results of 142 independent scientific investigations since 2000 can be found
Fear and Loathing on the Hockey Stick of Doom
Fear and Loathing on the Hockey Stick of Doom
Fear and Loathing on the Hockey Stick of Doom
Why was Charney so uncannily right back in 1979 when he estimated that doubling the stock of atmospheric carbon will increase global surface temperatures by 3ºC (plus/minus 1.5ºC)? Since then vast armies of climate scientists have replicated the result. Study after study has found that the equilibrium climate sensitivity — how much will temperatures rise after accounting for feedback loops — to be basically in line with Charney's original estimate. Put simply, Charney (1979) is the most replicated scientific result of all time. Tabulated results of 142 independent scientific investigations since 2000 can be found