At this point, preventing China from world leading position in computing technology is unrealistic. The fight is going to be for the US to gain the #2 position (leapfrogging Taiwan, South Korea, and Japan), and then maintain that position.
That "Jake" at any time seriously considered US having "leadership" in clean tech -- a plain old industrial field of competition, is perhaps the most interesting data point here. China cranks out something over 1GW of solar capacity every day (exporting 60% of it for the time being). Oh and it should be noted that today's commodity computing technology, as indicated by trends of Bitcoin mining when that was at its peak, are energy-limited. Although that'd change.
It is perhaps biotech that's the most interesting. And again, not an area where the numbers are promising for the US (current-generation postdocs, lets say, and all the expensive labs they require). Again regardless of whether or not the US tries to stop those third parties it still firmly controls, ie Europe, from doing business with China.
Those who address the problem raised here should know that America's 'enemies,' Russia and China, have far more advanced, robust, and widely deployed antimissile defenses than we do.
Interesting piece. Is there any documented pushback from the IC - "Despite tremendous push-back from major centers of private power, economists, foreign policy professionals and the intelligence community"? That goes against what I have heard but it is a big system
Reading between the lines of Sy’s report. There’s certainly great opposition in the IC to getting more involved in Europe. But, no, have not seen any direct reports of IC opposition to the chips escalation. Although it seems clear to me that many analysts in the IC can game out how it may undermine our world position.
At this point, preventing China from world leading position in computing technology is unrealistic. The fight is going to be for the US to gain the #2 position (leapfrogging Taiwan, South Korea, and Japan), and then maintain that position.
That "Jake" at any time seriously considered US having "leadership" in clean tech -- a plain old industrial field of competition, is perhaps the most interesting data point here. China cranks out something over 1GW of solar capacity every day (exporting 60% of it for the time being). Oh and it should be noted that today's commodity computing technology, as indicated by trends of Bitcoin mining when that was at its peak, are energy-limited. Although that'd change.
It is perhaps biotech that's the most interesting. And again, not an area where the numbers are promising for the US (current-generation postdocs, lets say, and all the expensive labs they require). Again regardless of whether or not the US tries to stop those third parties it still firmly controls, ie Europe, from doing business with China.
Those who address the problem raised here should know that America's 'enemies,' Russia and China, have far more advanced, robust, and widely deployed antimissile defenses than we do.
Interesting piece. Is there any documented pushback from the IC - "Despite tremendous push-back from major centers of private power, economists, foreign policy professionals and the intelligence community"? That goes against what I have heard but it is a big system
Reading between the lines of Sy’s report. There’s certainly great opposition in the IC to getting more involved in Europe. But, no, have not seen any direct reports of IC opposition to the chips escalation. Although it seems clear to me that many analysts in the IC can game out how it may undermine our world position.
Sy Hersh?