The Origins of the Ukraine War

What happened in August 2021?

Sep 21, 2022

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President Vladimir V. Putin’s calculus is likely shifting as he weighs the risks of an invasion against what he believes he could gain through negotiations, according to a U.S. official.

Under conditions of information dominance, it is the anomalies that can help us get a handle on objective realities. In the case of Putin’s decision to invade Ukraine, the anomalies have been piling up especially hard and fast. The first anomaly that grabbed my attention was this piece by Margarita Konaev and Polina Beliakova in Foreign Affairs. In the …

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