What in the Name of the Lord is Going on in the International Cross-Section of the Coronavirus Toll?
policytensor.substack.com
As the pandemic began reaching epic proportions at the beginning of April, I made a wager that the toll from the coronavirus will follow the all-too-familiar pattern of fortune on the planet: The one thing we can be sure about is that the brunt of the pandemic will be borne by the poor nations of the world. During the 1918 pandemic, half the fatalities were in India. This time around, Africa will likely fare even worse because of a major divergence within developing nations. I wager that the best predictors of the distribution of the death toll across nations will be state capacity and health status. The present distributions reflects the intensity of global networks — the tripolar core of the world economy is the most tightly integrated and therefore the earliest to be exposed. But this is merely the beginning. This thing is going to go everywhere; in multiple cycles. The ultimate death toll will obey
What in the Name of the Lord is Going on in the International Cross-Section of the Coronavirus Toll?
What in the Name of the Lord is Going on in…
What in the Name of the Lord is Going on in the International Cross-Section of the Coronavirus Toll?
As the pandemic began reaching epic proportions at the beginning of April, I made a wager that the toll from the coronavirus will follow the all-too-familiar pattern of fortune on the planet: The one thing we can be sure about is that the brunt of the pandemic will be borne by the poor nations of the world. During the 1918 pandemic, half the fatalities were in India. This time around, Africa will likely fare even worse because of a major divergence within developing nations. I wager that the best predictors of the distribution of the death toll across nations will be state capacity and health status. The present distributions reflects the intensity of global networks — the tripolar core of the world economy is the most tightly integrated and therefore the earliest to be exposed. But this is merely the beginning. This thing is going to go everywhere; in multiple cycles. The ultimate death toll will obey