Sitemap - 2021 - Policy Tensor

Superstar Stocks

The Logic of Erdogan's Wager

Why the Fed Will Hike Sooner Than You Think

Are US Investors Underweight China?

Central Banking in the Planetary Impasse

ESG and Carbon Pricing La La Lands

A Note on US Military Policy

Who has the highest survival probability? Biden, Xi, Putin or Modi?

When will the Fed respond to inflation?

Seeing Like BlackRock

Housing protects investors against inflation — Equities do not

Social Class, NYC Election and Peak Woke

The Puzzle of Human Origins

Zelinsky's Cultural Regions and Modernization at Home, 1880-1930

Culture and Modernization in the United States, 1880-1930

Global Polarization and International Bond Market Premia

The Wage Curve in the United States

Why Have Rental Yields Collapsed?

Market Valuation Varies in Lock-Step with Equity Allocation

No Sign Yet of Underlying Inflation Picking Up

The Church's crusade against cousin-marriage did not create the Western nuclear family

The Upside-Down Covid Death Toll is Due to Confounding by Age

Duration and Rating Premia in Investment Grade Municipal Bonds

Is it feasible to publicly fund the global energy transition?

Does the name William M. Martin ring a bell?

Strategic Asset Allocation Revisited

How to Construct a Financial Conditions Index

The Global Financial Cycle and Growth Risk

The Term Structure of Growth Risk

The Making of the Mother of All Economic Booms

Why I am restoring some posts on policytensor.com

A Hierarchical Model of AE Inflation

A Simple Test of the Summers-Blanchard Inflation Hypothesis

Victoria's Broken Promise: Class, Race, and Empire, 1858-1947

Intermediary Positioning and Hard Currency Returns

No Adam Curtis, Trump did not win because of the China Shock

Capital Wars?

Strategic Asset Allocation

The Dynamic Price of Market Risk

Equity Allocation Predicts Next Quarter's Market Return

Griffin's Problem: Microstructure, Citadel and GameStop

Positive valuation shocks predict bond issuance but not stock issuance

Shanken Asset Pricing

Cross-border banking flows are not priced into the cross-section of US stocks

Moving to Substack

Cross-border banking flows predict risk appetite

The Risk Premium on the Global Financial Cycle

Cross-border banking flows predict dollar strength

Are Congressmen who challenged the election results in thrall of Trump's base?

Is the SP500 Futures Market More Liquid than the VIX Futures Market?